Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 13 November 2023, Monday


	Gastao Elias		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.92
	1.82	1.93
	1.73	2
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.7	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.17)	1.96 ↓ (4.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
52.8%

Max Houkes
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	0%	78.4%

Gastao Elias - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Houkes will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houkes: 65.1% – 91.7%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elias will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Gastao Elias - Blaise Bicknell	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Gastao Elias - Alex Barrena	Elias G. retired ✺
15.10.23	Gastao Elias - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Mariano Navone - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?WL
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Max Houkes - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Max Houkes - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

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