Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Gastao Elias		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
40.2%

Jaime Faria
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Gastao Elias - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Faria will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 326. Faria is ranked ATP: 144.

Elias is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Faria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Faria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elias won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Gastao Elias - Daniel Vallejo	Vallejo D. retired ✺
21.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Gastao Elias - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Gastao Elias - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Gastao Elias - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?WLWW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Jaime Faria - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Gastao Elias - Jaime Faria	2:1
Exhibition FPT Portugal Series 3 Men
09.07.20	Jaime Faria - Gastao Elias	0:2

Gastao Elias - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide