Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ningbo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:00	beIN Sports 2
Czech Republic	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	11:00	beIN Sports 3
Poland	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	11:00	Voyo


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.78	1.5
	2.92	1.40	Watch
	2.66	1.48	Watch
	2.48	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.48)	1.45 (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
34.9%

Elena Rybakina
65.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Rybakina will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 4 - 50%). Rybakina (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 10. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 9.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rybakina could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Diana Shnaider - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Elena Rybakina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
10.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Linda Noskova - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
11.01.24	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Sydney
09.01.22	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Canceled
WTA Roma
14.09.20	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA Shenzhen
11.01.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Elena Rybakina - Yulia Putintseva	✺

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina