Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finalsDate: 8 May 2026, Friday
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Ekaterina Alexandrova |
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Laura Siegemund |
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- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.5% | Laura Siegemund
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.Laura Siegemund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Siegemund's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Siegemund than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laura Siegemund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Siegemund will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siegemund: 38.8% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 14. Siegemund is ranked WTA: 46.Alexandrova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Siegemund has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
Ekaterina Alexandrova - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.1%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Laura Siegemund - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WTA US Open | | | 30.08.25 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund | 2:0 | | WTA Australian Open | | | 14.01.24 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund | 1:2 | | WTA Wimbledon | | | 28.06.21 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund | 2:0 | | WTA Linz | | | 10.10.19 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund | 2:1 |
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