Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Olga Danilovic

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.59	2.37
	1.66	2.33
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.59	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
58.5%

Olga Danilovic
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Olga Danilovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olga Danilovic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Danilovic will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Danilovic: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Danilovic (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Danilovic (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Danilovic is ranked WTA: 34.

Recent matches Alexandrova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Danilovic is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alexandrova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Stuttgart
20.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Mirra Andreeva - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
05.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWL
- Olga Danilovic
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Victoria Azarenka - Olga Danilovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
20.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Olga Danilovic - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Olga Danilovic	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Olga Danilovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

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