Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Italy	Super Tennis


	Elena Rybakina		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.34
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.39	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
68.6%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Alexandrova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 6. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 10.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3.

Rybakina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Alexandrova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rybakina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Finals
03.11.25	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Amanda Anisimova - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Linda Noskova - Elena Rybakina	Noskova L. walkover ✺
23.10.25	Victoria Mboko - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?WW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
WTA Ningbo
19.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Diana Shnaider - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
19.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	1:2
WTA Adelaide
11.01.24	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Sydney
09.01.22	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Canceled
WTA Roma
14.09.20	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA Shenzhen
11.01.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	2:0

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