Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.22	Watch
	3.98	1.28
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	4.22	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.31)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
24.5%

Elena Rybakina
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Rybakina will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 22. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 7.

Fernandez is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rybakina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rybakina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rybakina is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Rybakina - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 71.65%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Tokyo
20.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Victoria Mboko	Canceled ✺
WTA Osaka
18.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?WWW
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Ningbo
19.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Elena Rybakina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
10.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Washington
26.07.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina	2:1
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina	2:1
WTA Doha
15.02.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina	0:2

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide