Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: FINALS - CANCUN (WORLD), HARD

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Elena Rybakina		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.46	2.94
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.96	Watch
	1.46	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	2.93 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
67.3%

Maria Sakkari
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Sakkari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sakkari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Elena Rybakina - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sakkari will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match Rybakina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rybakina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Finals
29.10.23	Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
07.10.23	Elena Rybakina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Mirra Andreeva - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Tatjana Maria - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Finals
29.10.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA Zhengzhou
11.10.23	Qinwen Zheng - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
06.10.23	Maria Sakkari - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
05.10.23	Maria Sakkari - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Maria Sakkari - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
17.03.22	Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA St Petersburg
15.02.20	Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina	1:2

Elena Rybakina - Maria Sakkari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide