Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Elena Rybakina		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
			Watch
	1.49	2.76
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	2.67 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
64.3%

Qinwen Zheng
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.

Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qinwen Zheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qinwen Zheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Elena Rybakina - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Rybakina (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 11. Zheng is ranked WTA: 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rybakina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rybakina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA London
13.06.25	Tatjana Maria - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Heather Watson - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Elena Rybakina - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Elena Rybakina - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA London
14.06.25	Qinwen Zheng - Amanda Anisimova	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Qinwen Zheng - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Qinwen Zheng - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
04.11.24	Elena Rybakina - Qinwen Zheng	1:2
WTA Beijing
02.10.23	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.22	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	0:2

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