Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Elena Rybakina		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.04	13	Watch
	1.04	10
	1.03	13	Watch
	1.03	12.44	Watch
	1.05	10
	1.02	20	Watch
	1.02	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.07)	13.21 ↑ (8.36)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
92.7%

Varvara Gracheva
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 50%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 18.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gracheva (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Rybakina (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 2 - 50%). Gracheva (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 5. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 77.

Rybakina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Rybakina is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Kaja Juvan	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
27.12.25	Belinda Bencic - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Varvara Gracheva - Viktorija Golubic	2:1 ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Varvara Gracheva - Katie Volynets	Canceled ✺
WTA Auckland
06.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Tokyo
22.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
14.03.23	Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva	2:0
WTA St Petersburg
09.02.22	Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva	2:0

Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide