Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.38	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	2.81 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
66.5%

Miguel Tobon
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coulibaly will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tobon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 301. Tobon is ranked ATP: 682.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coulibaly is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Faris Zakaryia - Eliakim Coulibaly	Coulibaly E. retired ✺
14.08.25	Aristarkh Safonov - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Barney Fitzpatrick - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?WWL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
13.08.25	Arthur Fery - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Miguel Tobon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 ?LWL?

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