Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: HAMBURG (GERMANY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elias Ymer		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.18
	1.76	2.11
	1.7	1.99	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.43)	2.1 ↓ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
55.4%

Ivan Gakhov
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Gakhov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Gakhov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Elias Ymer - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gakhov will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gakhov: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gakhov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ymer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Elias Ymer - Leo Borg	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Damir Dzumhur - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Fabian Marozsan - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Gstaad
15.07.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
06.07.23	Rudolf Molleker - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
04.07.23	Nerman Fatic - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.10.18	Elias Ymer - Ivan Gakhov	2:0

Elias Ymer - Ivan Gakhov