Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.72	2.08
	1.75	2.16
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
55.8%

Elias Ymer
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Ymer will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.23	Skander Mansouri - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Damir Dzumhur - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Fabian Marozsan - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Elias Ymer - Antoine Escoffier	1:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLW?

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