Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Elias Ymer		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.44	2.91
	1.29	3.34	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.28)	2.73 ↓ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
65.1%

Mert Alkaya
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mert Alkaya's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elias Ymer - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alkaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 172. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 473.

Ymer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alkaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ymer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ymer is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Elias Ymer - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Kaylan Bigun - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. retired ✺
15.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Elias Ymer - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?LWW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Samir Iftikhar - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mert Alkaya - Jannik Opitz	Alkaya M. retired ✺
31.10.25	Petr Brunclik - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WW?LW

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