Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Final

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.55	2.56
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.83)	2.51 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
62.7%

Elias Ymer
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 182. Ymer is ranked ATP: 191.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Watanuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Kokoro Isomura - Yosuke Watanuki	Watanuki Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWW?
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Elias Ymer - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda	Tokuda R. retired ✺
11.11.25	Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston	Peniston R. retired ✺
06.11.25	Maxime Janvier - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW??L

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Elias Ymer - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0

Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide