Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Kaichi Uchida		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.62
	2.39	1.52	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.73)	1.55 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
39.4%

Elias Ymer
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaichi Uchida's form might have worsened.

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elias Ymer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elias Ymer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Ymer (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 309. Ymer is ranked ATP: 191.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
13.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	James Duckworth - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 ?WWLW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Elias Ymer - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda	Tokuda R. retired ✺
11.11.25	Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston	Peniston R. retired ✺
06.11.25	Maxime Janvier - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Uisung Park - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.08.22	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	0:2

Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide