Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	2.04 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
54.4%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Elias Ymer - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 261. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 222.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Elias Ymer - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Dino Prizmic - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Elias Ymer - Ramkumar Ramanathan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Karue Sell - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

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