Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Elias Ymer		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	2.95	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	2.95	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.32 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
29.6%

Giulio Zeppieri
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giulio Zeppieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giulio Zeppieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Ymer (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ymer (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giulio Zeppieri will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 260. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 310.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Zeppieri is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ymer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Giulio Zeppieri - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Elias Ymer - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Elias Ymer - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
24.07.22	Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2

Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide