Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Renta Tokuda

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.41	2.96
	1.45	2.59	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	2.76 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
66.2%

Renta Tokuda
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elias Ymer's performance.

Renta Tokuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renta Tokuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elias Ymer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renta Tokuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Ymer (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 191. Tokuda is ranked ATP: 308.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tokuda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ymer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ymer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston	Peniston R. retired ✺
06.11.25	Maxime Janvier - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Uisung Park - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Jurij Rodionov - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?LWLW
- Renta Tokuda
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Ryotaro Taguchi - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Renta Tokuda	Bouzige M. retired ✺
27.10.25	Renta Tokuda - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Renta Tokuda - Elias Ymer	1:2
ATP Tokyo
01.10.22	Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda	2:0

Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide