Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.96	1.85
	1.84	1.86	Watch
			Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
50.6%

Ryan Peniston
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 189. Peniston is ranked ATP: 194.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Peniston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ymer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Maxime Janvier - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Uisung Park - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Jurij Rodionov - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Elias Ymer - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Ryan Peniston - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
08.01.24	Ryan Peniston - Elias Ymer	2:1

Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide