Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Elina Svitolina		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.72
	2.15	1.8
	2.17	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.17	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.62)	1.76 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
45.3%

Marta Kostyuk
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elina Svitolina's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.1%	0%	45.9%

Elina Svitolina - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 20 - 54.1%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 38% – 70.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 7. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 15.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Kostyuk will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Belinda Bencic	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Anna Bondar	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
16.05.26	Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.26	Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Marta Kostyuk - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Marta Kostyuk - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Marta Kostyuk - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
02.05.26	Mirra Andreeva - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Elina Svitolina - Marta Kostyuk	1:2
WTA Australian Open
18.01.18	Marta Kostyuk - Elina Svitolina	0:2

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