Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Eliot Spizzirri		Jan Choinski

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Eliot Spizzirri
54.4%

Jan Choinski
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 114. Choinski is ranked ATP: 213.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spizzirri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Jan Choinski - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
07.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWL?L
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Paul Jubb - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL

Eliot Spizzirri - Jan Choinski