Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.88
	1.94	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.98	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.59)	1.85 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
48.3%

Belinda Bencic
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belinda Bencic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belinda Bencic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 18.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Belinda Bencic will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belinda Bencic will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Bencic is ranked WTA: 12.

Mertens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bencic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Bencic will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Cori Gauff - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Belinda Bencic
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Storm Hunter - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Sara Bejlek	Bencic B. walkover ✺
16.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
04.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Sonay Kartal	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

WTA United Cup
09.01.26	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	Bencic B. walkover
WTA Australian Open
13.02.21	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	0:2

Upcoming Matches