Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Donna Vekic

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.35	1.64
	2.25	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.9)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
42.5%

Donna Vekic
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.

Donna Vekic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Donna Vekic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elise Mertens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Donna Vekic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Elise Mertens - Donna Vekic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Vekic will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 29. Vekic is ranked WTA: 20.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing
30.09.24	Cristina Bucsa - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Monastir
12.09.24	Elise Mertens - Eva Lys	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Elise Mertens - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.24	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Donna Vekic
WTA Beijing
30.09.24	Mirra Andreeva - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Viktorija Golubic - Donna Vekic	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.24	Qinwen Zheng - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
30.08.24	Donna Vekic - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Donna Vekic - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hopman Cup
20.07.23	Elise Mertens - Donna Vekic	2:0

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