Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Elise Mertens		Peyton Stearns

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.67	2.21	Watch
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
56.6%

Peyton Stearns
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Peyton Stearns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Elise Mertens - Peyton Stearns Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 28. Stearns is ranked WTA: 43.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stearns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Peyton Stearns
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Katie Boulter - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Peyton Stearns - Magda Linette	1:2 ✺
WTA Austin
25.02.25	Varvara Gracheva - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Peyton Stearns - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Qinwen Zheng - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
12.02.24	Peyton Stearns - Elise Mertens	0:2

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