Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)


	Elise Mertens		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	8	1.08	Watch
	6.25	1.11
	7.4	1.09
	5.91	1.16
	6.58	1.14	Watch
	6	1.12
	7.1	1.1	Watch
	7.4	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↑ (5.02)	1.11 ↓ (1.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
14%

Aryna Sabalenka
86%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

81.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 35. Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0.

Mertens is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sabalenka in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sabalenka is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA US Open
30.08.24	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Veronika Kudermetova - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Elise Mertens - Saisai Zheng	Canceled
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.24	Elise Mertens - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWW?L
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
31.08.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Priscilla Hon - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
20.01.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.21	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Madrid
05.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired
WTA Linz
15.11.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Dubai
19.02.20	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Zhuhai
25.10.19	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Montreal
09.08.18	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

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