Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Elise Mertens		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	2.3	1.62
	2.2	1.65
	2.3	1.59	Watch
	2.48	1.6
			Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.43	1.64	Watch
	2.27	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
41.3%

Elina Svitolina
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	0%	82.5%

Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elina Svitolina will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elina Svitolina will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 23. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svitolina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Elise Mertens - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elise Mertens - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
16.06.25	Dayana Yastremska - Elise Mertens	Canceled ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
15.06.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWL?W
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Anna Bondar - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
25.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.23	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
05.02.21	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:1
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.19	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Montreal
10.08.18	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Australian Open
22.01.18	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:0

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