Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Washington (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	02:50	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub
France	02:50	beIN Sports France 1
Slovenia	02:50	SportKlub 2
United Kingdom	01:50	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Elise Mertens		Emma Raducanu

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.87	1.45
	2.73	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.82	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.39)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
34.5%

Emma Raducanu
65.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.

Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Raducanu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Elise Mertens - Emma Raducanu Predictions

Users Predictions: Emma Raducanu will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Raducanu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.24	Emma Raducanu - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Nao Hibino - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.24	Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini	Mertens E. retired ✺
25.06.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Birmingham
20.06.24	Caroline Dolehide - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?W?
- Emma Raducanu
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.24	Lulu Sun - Emma Raducanu	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Emma Raducanu - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Emma Raducanu - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Renata Zarazua - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
01.07.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
03.07.24	Emma Raducanu - Elise Mertens	2:0

Elise Mertens - Emma Raducanu