Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: No. 1 Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	beIN Sports France 2, beIN Sports France 3, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9
Greece	Nova Sports 6, Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Fight, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2, Polsat Sport Premium 3, Polsat Sport Premium 4, Polsat Sport Premium 5, Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV3
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Movistar Deportes
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC One, BBC Two
World	Eurosport 2


	Emma Raducanu		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.66
	1.58	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)	2.58 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Raducanu
62.9%

Elise Mertens
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Emma Raducanu - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Emma Raducanu will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Raducanu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Raducanu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Raducanu
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Renata Zarazua - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
01.07.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	Canceled ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Emma Raducanu - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Sloane Stephens - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LWW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Nao Hibino - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.24	Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini	Mertens E. retired ✺
25.06.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Birmingham
20.06.24	Caroline Dolehide - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired ✺
18.06.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?W?W

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