Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Eastbourne (United Kingdom), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports France 2
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Elise Mertens		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.72	2.21
	1.72	2.22
	1.73	2.1
	1.8	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	2.12 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
55%

Jasmine Paolini
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Mertens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paolini is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paolini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Birmingham
20.06.24	Caroline Dolehide - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired ✺
18.06.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.24	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?WLL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roland Garros
08.06.24	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Jasmine Paolini - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Jasmine Paolini - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Elina Avanesyan - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monastir
22.10.23	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Doha
21.02.22	Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
08.10.21	Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini	1:2
WTA Prague
11.08.20	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.04.18	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	0:2

Upcoming Matches