Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Emma Raducanu

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.66	2.23
	1.66	2.33
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
57.3%

Emma Raducanu
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Emma Raducanu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Raducanu will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raducanu: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Raducanu (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 20. Raducanu is ranked WTA: 49.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Raducanu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
20.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW
- Emma Raducanu
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Maya Joint - Emma Raducanu	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Suzan Lamens - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
26.03.25	Emma Raducanu - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Emma Raducanu - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
09.02.25	Emma Raducanu - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Australian Open
13.01.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	Canceled

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