Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Elise Mertens		Lesia Tsurenko

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3
	1.43	3.05
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.82	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	2.92 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
67.4%

Lesia Tsurenko
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lesia Tsurenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lesia Tsurenko than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Elise Mertens - Lesia Tsurenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tsurenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mertens will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Doha
13.02.24	Emma Navarro - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Peyton Stearns - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
02.02.24	Elise Mertens - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
01.02.24	Elise Mertens - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Lesia Tsurenko
WTA Doha
14.02.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. walkover ✺
13.02.24	Ons Jabeur - Lesia Tsurenko	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.02.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Shenzhen
04.01.20	Lesia Tsurenko - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.17	Lesia Tsurenko - Elise Mertens	2:0

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