Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday


	Emma Navarro		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2.01	1.88
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.96	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)	1.88 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Navarro
49.2%

Elise Mertens
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emma Navarro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Emma Navarro - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Navarro will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Mertens will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navarro: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navarro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mertens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navarro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Navarro
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Emma Navarro - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.24	Emma Navarro - Dayana Yastremska	1:2 ✺
18.01.24	Emma Navarro - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:1 ✺
15.01.24	Emma Navarro - Xiyu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Peyton Stearns - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
02.02.24	Elise Mertens - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
01.02.24	Elise Mertens - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Mayar Sherif - Elise Mertens	Sherif M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2

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