Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: LINZ (AUSTRIA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Elise Mertens		Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.75
	2.11	1.82
	2	1.8
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
46.5%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Elise Mertens - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Linz
01.02.24	Elise Mertens - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Mayar Sherif - Elise Mertens	Sherif M. retired ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
11.01.24	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WL?LW
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Linz
31.01.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
29.01.24	Martina Trevisan - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Paula Badosa - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
11.01.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
04.06.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.17	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
22.04.17	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Elise Mertens	0:2

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