Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Elise Mertens		Lulu Sun

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.2	4.4	Watch
	1.2	5.12
	1.20	4.58	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.22	4.93	Watch
	1.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)	4.42 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
78.3%

Lulu Sun
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lulu Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lulu Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sun will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Sun is ranked WTA: 164.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Elise Mertens - Alyssa Ahn	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.25	Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Donna Vekic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Anna Blinkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Lulu Sun
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Lulu Sun - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Linda Noskova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Lulu Sun - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches