Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Elise Mertens		Tereza Valentova

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.09	1.81
	1.95	1.80	Watch
	2.06	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
46.2%

Tereza Valentova
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Tereza Valentova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tereza Valentova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Elise Mertens - Tereza Valentova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tereza Valentova will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Valentova is ranked WTA: 78.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Osaka
14.10.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	Bencic B. walkover ✺
06.10.25	Elise Mertens - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
11.09.25	Elise Mertens - Elsa Jacquemot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 W?WLL
- Tereza Valentova
WTA Osaka
14.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Greetje Minnen	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
03.10.25	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

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