Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Elise Mertens		Elsa Jacquemot

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.32	3.35	Watch
	1.32	3.71
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.17	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	3.6 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
73.4%

Elsa Jacquemot
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Elsa Jacquemot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elsa Jacquemot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Elise Mertens - Elsa Jacquemot Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jacquemot will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Mertens (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 83.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jacquemot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.18%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA US Open
29.08.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Elise Mertens - Alyssa Ahn	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.25	Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Donna Vekic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW
- Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Guadalajara
09.09.25	Maria Sakkari - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Panna Udvardy - Elsa Jacquemot	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 W?LWL

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