Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Elmer Moeller		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.56
	2.53	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	1.53 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
38.5%

Matej Dodig
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Elmer Moeller aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Matej Dodig aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Elmer Moeller - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Dodig will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dodig is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dodig will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dodig to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Lukas Klein - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Tommaso Compagnucci - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Adrian Andreev - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Matej Dodig - Filip Misolic	Misolic F. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.24	Jay Clarke - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWL?W

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