Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 VARNAMO (SWEDEN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Elmer Moeller		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.3	1.56
	2.36	1.57
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.69)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
40.6%

Oliver Crawford
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliver Crawford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliver Crawford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elmer Moeller - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Crawford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crawford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crawford will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Elmer Moeller - Lewie Lane	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Charles Broom - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Elmer Moeller - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Elmer Moeller - Sergis Kyratzis	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Elmer Moeller - Sergio Badini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Oliver Crawford
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Erik Grevelius - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
10.05.23	Olle Noltorp - Oliver Crawford	0:2
ATP Challenger
24.04.23	Oliver Crawford - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	James Duckworth - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Nicolas Mejia - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Elmer Moeller - Oliver Crawford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide