Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Elmer Moller		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
	1.38	3.1
	1.4	2.88	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.39	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
67.9%

Guy Den Ouden
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Elmer Moller - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Den Ouden (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 112. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 187.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
22.05.25	Elmer Moller - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Elmer Moller - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Elmer Moller - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Aslan Karatsev - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Filip Misolic - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW

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