Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Aslan Karatsev		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.13	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.35)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
31.4%

Elmer Moller
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aslan Karatsev's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Aslan Karatsev - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Moller will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karatsev (votes: 1 - 50%). Moller (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Moller (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Karatsev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Moller (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatsev is ranked ATP: 187. Moller is ranked ATP: 114.

Recent matches Karatsev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moller is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moller to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Federico Cina - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Joao Fonseca - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Elmer Moller - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

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