Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Kanal 5
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 2
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Elmer Moller		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	15	1.03	Watch
	8.75	1.06
	10	1.05	Watch
	13.56	1.05
	10.98	1.04	Watch
	11	1.04
	17	1.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.33 ↓ (13)	1.04 (1.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
7.8%

Tommy Paul
92.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.4%

92.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paul will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +9 Games - Moller (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 50%). Paul (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 105. Paul is ranked ATP: 16.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Paul is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Filip Misolic - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Johannus Monday - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	1:3

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