Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Elmer Moller		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.35	3.08
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)	3.03 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
69.1%

Miguel Damas
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Elmer Moller - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Damas will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 156. Damas is ranked ATP: 434.

Moller is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Damas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Damas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moller will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Damas to win the game is with odds 2.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Elmer Moller - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Elmer Moller - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Elmer Moller - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sergio Ingles Garre - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Oliver Crawford - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Samuele Pieri - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Iliyan Radulov - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

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