Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Elmer Moller		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.11	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (3.75)	1.67 ↑ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
43.8%

Elias Ymer
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Moller (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 50%). Ymer (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 119. Ymer is ranked ATP: 175.

Moller is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ymer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ymer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Elmer Moller - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Elmer Moller - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Elmer Moller - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Alex Bolt - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Elias Ymer - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Elias Ymer - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Elias Ymer - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Kaylan Bigun - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Elias Ymer - Elmer Moller	Ymer E. retired
11.02.25	Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer	0:2

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