Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Elmer Moller		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3.01
	1.37	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
68%

Nishesh Basavareddy
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Elmer Moller - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Basavareddy will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moller: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 148. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 108.

Moller is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basavareddy has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basavareddy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Remy Bertola - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elmer Moller	Moller E. walkover ✺
15.04.25	Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWW?W
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Lukas Klein - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
08.04.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 ?LLLL

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