Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Elmer Moller		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
52.9%

Thiago Monteiro
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Monteiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 136. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 94.

Recent matches Moller is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monteiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Elmer Moller - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Ivan Justo	Canceled ✺
23.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mariano Kestelboim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWWW

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