Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Elmer Moller		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.21	1.71
	2.17	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
43.4%

Roman Safiullin
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmer Moller's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 148. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Remy Bertola - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elmer Moller	Moller E. walkover ✺
15.04.25	Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?WLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWLW

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