Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Francisco Comesana		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.71	2.21
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	2.34 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
59.9%

Elmer Moller
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Comesana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elmer Moller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Francisco Comesana - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Moller will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comesana: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Comesana (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Moller (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 62. Moller is ranked ATP: 148.

Comesana is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Remy Bertola - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elmer Moller	Moller E. walkover ✺
15.04.25	Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?WL

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