Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Emile Hudd		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.21	3.9	Watch
	1.25	3.89
	1.25	3.64	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.84)	3.4 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emile Hudd
71.5%

Kousuke Ogura
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emile Hudd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emile Hudd's performance.

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kousuke Ogura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emile Hudd than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emile Hudd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kousuke Ogura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Emile Hudd - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hudd is ranked ATP: 840. Ogura is ranked ATP: 758.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ogura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hudd is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Emile Hudd - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emile Hudd
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Emile Hudd - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Emile Hudd	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Emile Hudd - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Finn Bass - Emile Hudd	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Uisung Park - Emile Hudd	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWW?
- Kousuke Ogura
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Zane Stevens - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Stefan Vujic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

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