Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Emiliana Arango		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.62
	5.57	1.15	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.09)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
30.9%

Varvara Gracheva
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emiliana Arango's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emiliana Arango, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Gracheva (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 46. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.

Arango has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gracheva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gracheva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Suzan Lamens - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Emiliana Arango - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Emiliana Arango - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Emiliana Arango - Anna Bondar	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Emiliana Arango - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Iva Jovic - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Merida
18.02.23	Varvara Gracheva - Emiliana Arango	2:0

Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide